यूक्रेन में अमेरिका अफ़्ग़ानिस्तान की तरह फँस गया : रूस के साथ तुर्किये में चोरी-छिपे समझौते पर बात जारी : रिपोर्ट

यूक्रेन को मोहरा बना कर रूस को घेरने की कोशिश करने वाले देश अमेरिका व् यूरोप के सर्वशक्तिशाली, महाशक्तियां आज खुद को इस जंग से बाहर निकालने के लिए फड़फड़ा रही हैं, इनकी समझ में नहीं आ रहा है कि अब आगे क्या किया जाए, रूस पर दुनियांभर के प्रतिबन्ध लगा देने के बावजूद उसका कुछ नहीं बिगड़ा बल्कि रूस की अर्थवयवस्था जंग के दौरान एक दशक के अंदर सबसे मज़बूत होकर उभरी है, अमेरिका, ब्रिटेन इस धरती पर सबसे ज़यादा षड्यंत्कारी देश हैं, इन्हें उम्मीद थी कि यूक्रेन के बहाने ये देश रूस को तोड़ देंगे और उसे दुनियां में अलग-थलग कर देंगे, अब जबकि जंग के 300 दिन पूरे होने वाले हैं अमेरिका समेत उसके हिमायतियों की हालत पतली हो रही है, इनके पास अगर रूस से जंग हो जाती है तो लड़ने या बचाव करने के लिए हथियार तक नहीं बचे हैं, जल्दी-जल्दी में हथियारों को बनवा कर यूक्रेन भेज रहे हैं, जिनकी जाँच या टेस्ट तक नहीं किये जा रहे हैं, उधर रूस ख़ामोशी के साथ जंग को अंजाम तक पहुंचाने में लगा हुआ है, जानकारी के मुताबिक अमेरिका और यूरोप के देशों में बढ़ती महंगाई और ईंधन की कमी की वजह से वहां की जनता सड़कों पर उतर आयी है, फ्रांस, जर्मनी, ब्रिटैन समेत अन्य सभी अमेरिकी सहियोगी देशों में हर रोज़ प्रदर्शन हो रहे हैं, लोग मांग कर रहे हैं कि रूस पर लगे प्रतिबन्ध ख़त्म करो, यूक्रेन की मदद बंद करो,,,जनता के विरोध की वजह से वहां की सरकारें परेशानी में हैं,

जानकारी के मुताबिक अमेरिका और रूस के बीच जंग को ख़त्म करने के लिए बातचीत हो रही है, ये बातचीत तुर्की और फ्रांस की मध्यक्षता में हो रही है, इसमें कोई बीच का रास्ता खोजा जा रहा है, यूक्रेन के राष्ट्रपति को रूस के सामने समर्पण की इस में रूस ने शर्त राखी है, साथ ही भविष्य में यूक्रेन NETO का कभी भी सदस्य नहीं बनेगा, यूक्रेन को सेना रखने की इजाज़त नहीं दी जाएगी, जीते हुए इलाके रूस के ही पास रहेंगे, यूक्रेन क्रीमिया को मान्यता देगा

आने वाले दिनों में मुमकिन है कोई समझौता हो जाये और ये जंग रुक जाए, बता दें कि अमेरिका ने अनौपचारिक रूप से अपने बैंकों को रूस के साथ कारोबार करने को कह दिया है

सरवर
@ फ़िरोज़वाला

# व्हाइटहाउस ने निजी तौर पर अमेरिकी बैंकों से #रूस के साथ काम करने को कहा

बिडेन एडमिन निजी तौर पर #JPMorganChase और #Citigroup जैसे प्रमुख #US बैंकों से आग्रह कर रहा है कि #यूक्रेन में संघर्ष पर लगाए गए प्रतिबंधों के बावजूद रणनीतिक रूसी फर्मों के साथ व्यापार करना जारी रखें, #Bloomberg ने बताया

सरवर
@ फ़िरोज़वाला

समाचार एजेंसी ने बताया कि अमेरिकी ट्रेजरी और राज्य विभागों द्वारा अनुरोध किया गया है क्योंकि सरकार रूस पर दबाव बनाए रखने की कोशिश करती है, लेकिन साथ ही “एक वैश्विक आर्थिक तबाही” से बचें।

Sarwar 🌐
@ferozwala

#WhiteHouse privately asks US banks to work with #Russia

The Biden admin is privately urging leading #US banks like #JPMorganChase & #Citigroup to continue doing business with strategic Russian firms despite #sanctions imposed over the conflict in #Ukraine, #Bloomberg reported

Sarwar 🌐
@ferozwala

The requests have been made by the US Treasury & State Departments as the government tries to maintain pressure on Russia, but at the same time avoid “a global economic catastrophe,” the news agency reported \

Joe Biden was called out over the Russian Ukrainian war. pic.twitter.com/QMgOK5R264

— 一土2.0🇺🇸🇮🇱🇷🇺 (@Jessie2021626) November 7, 2022

NapperMi
@Mi3Napper

In order to maintain aid to #Ukraine , the United States privately asked Ukraine to be open to #Russian -Ukrainian negotiations. #USA

梁小舟🇨🇳
@liangliangla521

Former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has a suggestion for ending the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. He believes that without Western military aid, but with access to substantial reconstruction funds, Kiev might agree to negotiate with Moscow.

BREAKING OUT THE BIG GUNS: Russian artillery SMASHES Ukrainian positions in the Zaporozhye region, South #Russia, enabling #Russian and allied forces to COMPLETELY take charge of the front line. #UkraineWar pic.twitter.com/bezcnGjSxp

— Russian Ukrainian War (@RussianUkraini2) November 7, 2022

ANADOLU AGENCY
@anadoluagency
·
Nov 1
#BREAKING Türkiye’s president to speak to Russian, Ukrainian counterparts in coming days, Turkish foreign minister announces

TRT World
@trtworld
·
Nov 3
Türkiye’s President Erdogan:

– Grain deal will prioritise African countries in need as agreed (with Russian President) Putin
– Russian & Ukrainian leaders approach Türkiye positively on grain export issue
– Discussed beginning of fertiliser exports with Putin & Zelenskyy

Is Erdogan the winner of the Russian-Ukrainian war?

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan wrapped up a week of emergency diplomacy to save the beleaguered Ukrainian grain deal by doubling down on his decision to block NATO expansion, putting a fresh spotlight on the nuanced multi-vector posture of Turkey as the Russo-Ukrainian war enters its ninth month.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken thanked Erdogan earlier this week for bringing Russia back into a multilateral deal for continued Ukrainian grain exports shortly after the Kremlin said it was leaving the agreement. The reversal follows a Tuesday phone call between Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Erdogan secured a commitment from Putin to rejoin the deal, which was brokered by Turkey and the United Nations in July, in return for guarantees aimed at appeasement of Moscow’s growing security, political and logistical slate. grievances with the agreement.

Ankara’s resuscitation of the grain deal came shortly after Erdogan announced in October that he had accepted Putin’s earlier proposal to turn Turkey into a natural gas hub. Turkey, Erdogan said in October, will also be a hub for natural gas. At our last meeting, we agreed with Putin on this issue. We will create a hub here with Turkish gas from Russia. The technical details surrounding the proposal have not been fleshed out by the Russian side, which is actively seeking alternative gas routes amid a sharp drop in energy exports to the EU. Putin hailed Erdogan as a reliable partner when asked about the project at a press conference last week. It is easier for us to work with Turkey. President Erdogan is a man of his word… and it is easier for us to control the Black Sea, he said.

Erdogan has consistently and to a large extent successfully positioned himself as a leading mediator in Ukraine’s war, breaking ranks with NATO allies to assert a position of qualified neutrality. Although Ankara has repeatedly condemned Moscow for launching the invasion and previously backed Ukraine with deliveries of Bayraktar TB2 drones, Turkey has stood out as a strong supporter of a negotiated settlement to end the war at a time when such calls are denounced by Kyiv and some western leaders as offensive and immoral. Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu suggested in August that some NATO countries wanted the war to continue, further underscoring a stark difference in approach between Ankara and some Western countries on the key issue of ending the war. Ukrainian conflict. Turkey further bolstered its powers as a mediator by joining Saudi Arabia last month in brokering a massive prisoner swap deal between Russia and Ukraine.

Even as Erdogan strives to establish himself as the main power broker in the war, he is doubling down on his position as one of the few to resist NATO offers from Sweden and Finland. Ankara has almost single-handedly blocked an accession process that NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg previously assured would go very quickly, holding their offers hostage to a set of political and security demands. . Erdogan’s list includes lifting an arms embargo on Ankara and extraditing Swedish and Finnish nationals classified as terrorists by Turkish authorities. The Swedish and Finnish governments have signaled their willingness to meet some of Ankara’s demands, with Sweden pledging to lift the arms embargo, but have dragged their heels on others. Finnish officials reportedly said in September, they will not overturn extradition requests previously denied by Turkey, calling those decisions final.

Cavusoglu told a press conference with Stoltenberg earlier this week that Sweden and Finland had yet to meet their obligations under an earlier agreement overcoming Ankara’s objections to their NATO bids. . Erdogan agreed to meet Sweden’s new prime minister, Ulf Kristersson, to discuss the matter further, but insisted that Turkey not revise its demands. Our position has not changed, he said, according to ABC News. There are no compromises in the fight against terrorism and we have no intention of making concessions.

Bloomberg reported that Turkey is unlikely to greenlight Sweden’s NATO bid by the end of the year, citing officials familiar with the matter. While Finland is apparently on more solid footing, Ankara plans to vote on both candidacies at the same time, Bloomberg noted. Experts say Erdogan has no reason to give up his unique influence over Helsinki and Stockholm ahead of Turkey’s June 2023 general election, adding that Ankara’s formal demands from the two candidate countries are a smokescreen for concessions , possibly including the sale of F-16 fighter jets that it seeks to extract from Washington. Finland and Sweden’s offer of membership, he’s trying to use those two bargaining chips to get something from the West, analyst Ilhan Uzgel told VOA News.

There is broad consensus that Erdogan’s skilful grain diplomacy and tough messages on NATO are partly aimed at cementing his precarious domestic position, but there is also a deeper reckoning at work. Ankara’s position between Russia and the West speaks to Erdogan’s expansive vision of Turkey as an indispensable power player, if not a great power in the transition to a multipolar world. Erdogan’s ambitions, which go back many years and are informed by a eclectic mix of ideologies, were not spawned by the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24. On the contrary, the Russian-Ukrainian war has created a favorable geopolitical climate for Ankara to pursue an effective multi-vector foreign policy.

A quick and decisive Russian victory would have obviated the need for a neutral broker like Turkey, as would the willingness of Western policymakers to engage in direct negotiations with Moscow. The drawn-out nature of the conflict, its multi-layered political undertone, and its deep economic repercussions have cultivated unique opportunities for Turkish diplomacy, and Erdogan has shown he intends to make the most of it.

Mark Episkopos is a national security reporter for the National interest.